Look for the Hidden, Not the Obvious

Sometimes you need to look a little deeper to see what isn’t obvious

Doesn’t it seem that as soon as things become obvious, the rules change? You finally notice a trend, a predictable way of how something is going, and as soon as you do then the opposite begins to happen.

Sometimes it seems that if you just use a contrarian style then you can achieve more success. Start to zig when everyone else is zagging, move when others are standing still. Being a trend-setter is usually more lucrative than following the crowd.

I like to look at betting in that way. As soon as I notice that I am doing the same thing everyone else is doing, I know it’s time for a change.

It doesn’t matter what the choice of betting is, whether it be horses or football or blackjack. The most important thing is to find an edge. To find an edge, you need to see what isn’t obvious.

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Betting the Opposite

Always bet the jockey in pink! Only if he is on the right horse, of course. Gary Boulanger after a race

Have you ever had those days when every time you should have zigged, you zagged?

I have days when I make five bets and go 1-4. Of course there are other days when it looks more like 4-1, but on the days when there are way more losses than wins I can be tempted to start playing opposites, especially if a couple of losing days turn into a couple of weeks.

In other words, do all of my picks and then bet against everything I liked.

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